Indian equity markets struggled in July 2025 after the US announced a surprise 25% tariff, increasing uncertainty about an ongoing Indo-US trade deal. The Nifty 50 dropped 2.8%, and mid- and small-cap indices saw even larger declines. Nonetheless, domestic institutional investors (DIIs) showed strong support by investing $4.4 billion during the month. Global trade tensions and a mixed earnings season shaped market sentiment. While major sectors like IT and pharma remain somewhat sheltered, industries like textiles and auto may face challenges. Earnings have been stable but not exceptional. Large caps have shown stronger profit growth compared to mid- and small-caps. Key developments to watch in August include progress on the India-US trade deal, additional earnings reports, and the RBI’s policy direction. Experts anticipate that the RBI will maintain a wait-and-see approach for the time being. Looking ahead, fund managers stress the importance of disciplined investing. Systematic Investment Plans (SIPs) are a favored option, especially in turbulent times. Large caps provide a better risk-reward balance, while mid- and small-caps need careful selection. Multi-asset funds also offer stability during uncertain periods. Despite short-term fluctuations, experts believe that strong fundamentals and earnings performance will determine the equity market’s direction in the medium term.
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